Players of big game

Upcoming UP election will decide the fortune of many political stalwarts. Madam Maya, Congress Prince Rahul,  Majestic Mulayam and Irrepressible Rajnath will have to go through an acid test. In the most decisive election of all time-the UP assembly election 2012 will impact the government at the centre and the policy making machinery. Every win and lose will have a meaning. Let’s try to understand the probabilities of coming big series.

Another thumping majority for Madam Maya will be historical indeed which is unlike to happen if experts are trusted. But underestimating the Mayawati’s win will be stupidity. Irrespective of the controversies and political pressure, Mayawati did not sacrificed her dream projects like Yamuna Express way and launch of J.P.s F1 international race circuit. Defying the shouts and criticism from the lobby of media, opposition and civil society, Mayawati completed monumental parks and passed the Bill of state division in one go. Mayawati dominated the five year term in her own style. If UP is tested on the platforms of number and statistics it is not far behind the Maharastra. But on the development meters BSP’s development stands taller than the Utter Pradesh. Maya have gone well till now but the state is under an expected administrative fiasco. There is no improvement in migration from the state for employment and no significant decline in the poverty. Maya blamed centre and centre blamed the state, but in this blame game people of U.P loosed, neither the UPA nor the BSP. There are many projects which are in the files only. In February 2012, dominance of Maya will have bow down to the power of ballet.

The congress prince Rahul Gandhi is searching for the lost ground and hitting the headlines as the leader of poor and destitute. Not the political affinity but Rahul’s inherited charisma is helping him to get the people attention and media coverage. Rallies, road shows and every public appearance have been motivational for the grand old party-congress and the 41 year old young Rahul himself. Having the Dalit dinner in the hut or attending a panchayat is well exaggerated in a certain section of media. These stunts have paid good returns during the legislative elections but the same have been a failure in Bihar elections. Bihar can be termed as the advanced version of UP. Victory in UP elections for congress will not only improve its numbers but also give an edge in UPA against the threatening and troublesome ally like Mamta Banerjee lead Trinamul congress and corruption clouded DMK. Moreover, Congress victory will make Rahul in presenting strong contendership as the future prime minister.

No one can understand the politics of Utter Pradesh like the Mulayam Singh who have been elected as the chief minister of the state thrice. According to a political opinion Mulayam Singh have more chances of becoming chief minister again by winning alone or by support of congress. Caste based politics is been the winning formula for Mulayam. Influential, Muslim voters have preferred Mulayam lead party more then others. Samajwadi party have done complete overhauling after losing to BSP in last elections. Akhilesh, son of Mulayam have also done hard work akin to Rahul Gandhi but haven’t got the success like later. Presence of young brigade in S.P in command of Akhilesh have kept the future of party unspeculated like that of BJP and BSP which are lacking second generation leadership.

BJP can be better termed as the most experienced opposition in the federal structure of India after independence. Utter Pradesh is been the main political ground for BJP. After demolition of Babri Masjid BJP became an aggressive pioneer of Hidutva ideology. Since then it gained a lot and loosed a lot on the thorn full path of Hindutva politics. The state from where it has emerged is finding difficult to get into the heart of people. Moreover, lacking one face dominance in leadership in Utter Pradesh is been a huge problem for the party. UP election can be a big turnaround for BJP if the magic of hardspoken Varun Gandhi, and experienced Uma Bharti and Rajnath Singh worked in tendom. BJP will also employ the support of Nitish Kumar and Narendra Modi to cast some spell on voters to vote in their favour. BJP will contest upcoming elections with full force and will try to snatch the victory from the rivals. Anna’s anguish will only help BJP, reduce the votes for congress who failed to deliver strong lokpal and samjwadi party who opposed lokpal.

But the most decisive will be the voter and his preference for voting. For taking Utter Pradesh on the path of development voter have to be aware of his ballot power. Choosing the right candidate will be the key for the fate of peoples of Utter Pradesh and the state. Development is issue which is overshadowed by the issues of cast, religion and reservation. Voters have to bank on the development issue only and not allowing politicians to play vote bank politics.